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John Kenneth Galbraith — “A Short History of Financial Euphoria” (1990) IMO all bubbles are similar to crypto market too. Core idea: Bubbles repeat because collective memory is short and greed is timeless. Pattern of every mania. 1. A “new era” story catches fire (tulips, South Sea, ’29 stocks, junk bonds, dot-coms, crypto, etc.). 2. Prices surge, attracting fresh money and intellect—people mistake rising quotes for genius. 3. Easy credit/leverage turbo-charges gains and blinds participants to risk. 4. The establishment (banks, media, regulators, academics) cheers it on; no one wants the music to stop. 5. Skeptics are ridiculed until the bubble punctures. 6. Crash, blame, amnesia. Repeat next generation. Galbraith’s checklist to stay sane - Doubt any pitch that starts with “this time is different.” - Track leverage; when it soars, danger is near. - Remember that wealth ≠ wisdom during a boom. - Keep cash—and skepticism—ready for the bust; that’s when real bargains appear. Keep it handy the next time markets sound euphoric.
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