Hugh Naylor
@hughnaylor
I keep posting this stuff because I’m extremely skeptical of claims made in the early stages of wars. It’s always propaganda, and then the fog starts lifting as the war drags on and then the truth emerges, often so in ways that closely resemble the claims and warnings made before such wars even began. Iran had a lot of missiles, they likely still have a lot of missiles, and claims of their destruction over the last week appear overstated
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Dan Romero
@dwr.eth
I haven't seen any credible claims that the missile supply has been significantly reduced. Have seen claims that a large % of launchers have been destroyed. The decreasing size of barrages make that seem plausible (as to the accuracy of what % I assume that's just propaganda).
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Hugh Naylor
@hughnaylor
Yeah all good points. I suspect that the size of the barrages have been reduced to short, targeted bursts using the more advanced rockets because Iran feels they’ve now sufficiently softened up Israel’s missile defenses. And the initial barrages looked a lot bigger because they contained a bunch of drones, old rockets and decoys that were designed primarily to exhaust Israel’s interceptor supplies. I could be wrong, of course, but I’m leaning toward this thinking at the moment. In short, I think Israel is inching closer to a strategic defeat — similar to Hezbollah in 2006, but likely worse in terms of regional implications — if the US does not more thoroughly intervene militarily on its behalf.
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