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Pacers need a lot to break right. Rim protection is gonna be super important for Indy. Not sure Turner is up to it, personally. Siakam is an astute defender. Nembhard needs to stay out of foul trouble and their role players need to nail their shots and make the right pass almost every time. OKC are overwhelming favourites for a reason (even if I dislike how they have weaponised fouling/contact).