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Chainleft
@chainleft
Wow this is interesting. Coup in France: https://x.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1828169812738220402
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alixkun🟣🎩🍡
@alixkun
Nah. Current situation at the assembly is chaotic. Macron is just looking for the coalition that would bring the most stabilibity, and NPF is not it. They would be taken down within a week with 99% certainty.
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Chainleft
@chainleft
Nah. They won an election and they should be given a chance to form a coalition. Not even giving someone to form a government even after they win an election is the literal definition of coup.
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alixkun🟣🎩🍡
@alixkun
It's a bit technical here, but here's the thing: Macron is not at stake here, so he's not doing a coup. His government resigned, and it was accepted. For now, they're remaining in place until a new government is formed because there cannot be no government. So they're not doing a coup either, they officially resigned. The NPF didn't win the election per say. Winning the election for the assembly in France means having an absolute majority at the assembly. They are VERY far from it. It's like if you had 9 parties who had 100 seats each and one that had 101 seat and you said they won the election. Sure, they have more seats than other individual parties, but they're not in position to form a government and govern. Proof is, there's no law that force the president to nominate someone from a side that doesn't have an absolute majority.
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Chainleft
@chainleft
Right but you're having to lean into 3-4 technicalities to justify this because the reality is this has never happened before, which is enough proof that what's being done is a coup. Macron is abusing his power through loopholes Btw they did win the election, they got the seats. Forming a government is a separate step
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alixkun🟣🎩🍡
@alixkun
Again, I lean on the side that Macron is taking his time to find stability. Time will tell if it was a coup or not, but I would bet heavy money on the fact that it isnt. Ok, let's formulate things in a different way: Let's look at things your way and say they won the election. What actually matters here is not so much the "win the election" factor, but more the "what are the odds of being able to govern" because at the end of the day, what's at stake for France is to have a government that can govern and lead the country, not to have the election winner form a government if it means it's gonna be taken down within a week. The NPF is already a coalition. They have zero reserve to further their reach in the assembly. On top of that, every other parties (the centrist, the right and far right) have all clearly expressed they would immediately censor a government with LFI (one component of the NPF) in it, so we already know the outcome.
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