MicroStrategy Buys Another 1,000+ BTC in Just 24 Hours – December 2, 2025MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) has done it again: on December 2, the company announced it scooped up more than 1,000 BTC in the last 24 hours, continuing its relentless Bitcoin accumulation strategy.Under the leadership of Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy remains the undisputed largest corporate holder of Bitcoin. As of early December 2025, the company now owns over 423,650 BTC, valued at roughly $42–45 billion at current prices (~$100,000–$105,000 per BTC). This latest purchase further solidifies its position as the “Bitcoin treasury king.”Polymarket Goes WildThe news instantly lit up the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket. A hot market popped up asking:
“Will $YES outpace $NO in trading volume over the last 16 hours?”Within hours, dozens of wallets started piling into $YES. Some of the most active bettors include:https://polymarket.com/@meeeeteeeee
https://polymarket.com/@StrippersOfGaza
https://polymarket.com/@agentai
https://polymarket.com/@fromagi
https://polymarket.com/@Dunhill
https://polymarket.com/@shelly12
https://polymarket.com/@0x567500E942Fea8EA41BEA327b14565d6466959bc (one of the biggest whales in the market)
Should You Jump In Too?If you’re asking whether it’s worth buying MSTR stock or Bitcoin right now — it depends on your thesis:Bull case: MicroStrategy is trading at a persistent premium to its Bitcoin NAV (currently ~2.2–2.5×), but many investors see it as the only publicly traded vehicle for leveraged Bitcoin exposure with virtually no downside risk of selling (Saylor has repeatedly said they’ll never sell).
Bear case: The premium could compress if Bitcoin enters a prolonged bear market or if interest rates rise sharply again, squeezing the debt-financed purchase strategy.
That said, every previous major MSTR purchase has been followed by strong price action in both BTC and MSTR shares in the short-to-medium term. History rhymes.So… are you betting $YES with the Polymarket degens?
@polymarkettrade
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Up Only https://claim.superformfoundation.org
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@base NOW!
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The financial landscape is no longer monolithic. We now have a dynamic, 24/7 global stock market operating alongside a new breed of decentralized information markets like Polymarket. While they trade different assets—company shares versus probabilistic outcomes—they often price the same underlying reality: future events.
This convergence creates a fertile ground for a sophisticated strategy: **cross-market arbitrage**. This is the practice of exploiting price discrepancies for the same underlying event across different markets to lock in a risk-free profit.
**Understanding the Players**
1. **Polymarket:** A decentralized prediction market built on blockchain. Users buy and sell "shares" in the outcome of real-world events (e.g., "Will the Fed raise rates by 50bps in June?"). The share price, between $0.01 and $0.99, represents the market's implied probability of that outcome happening.
2. **Stock Market:** A traditional, regulated exchange where shares of publicly traded companies are traded. A company's stock price reflects the market's collective expectation of its future earnings and success.
**The Arbitrage Opportunity: A Conceptual Framework**
The arbitrage opportunity arises when the implied probability of an event on Polymarket significantly diverges from the implied probability derived from the movement of related stocks.
**The Core Idea:** If an event is almost certain to happen, it should already be "priced in" to the relevant stocks. A discrepancy between the markets suggests one is wrong, and you can bet against that mistake.
**A Hypothetical Example: The M&A Deal**
Let's imagine a classic scenario: a rumored acquisition.
* **The Event:** "Will Company A acquire Company B by December 31st?"
* **The Stock Tickers:** Company A (ACQR), Company B (TARG)
**Step 1: Identify the Discrepancy**
* **On Polymarket:** The share price for "Yes" is trading at **$0.80**. This implies an 80% chance the deal goes through.
* **On the Stock Market:** Company B's (TARG) stock is trading at $90. The official buyout offer from Company A is **$100 per share**.
If the deal were 100% certain, TARG would trade at $100. If it were 0% certain, it would trade at its pre-rumor price, say $70. The current price of $90 implies a market-estimated probability.
We can calculate this implied probability:
`($90 - $70) / ($100 - $70) = $20 / $30 = 0.666`
The stock market implies only a **~67% chance** the deal happens, while Polymarket implies an **80% chance**.
**Step 2: Execute the Arbitrage (The "Fork")**
This is the "fork" – you are taking opposing positions to capture the difference in implied probabilities.
1. **On Polymarket:** You are *bullish on the deal* relative to the stock market. You **BUY "Yes" shares** on the "Will Company A acquire Company B?" market. You bet that the 80% probability is more accurate than 67%.
2. **On the Stock Market:** You are *bearish on the deal* relative to Polymarket. To hedge, you need a position that profits if the deal fails. A common method is a **Merger Arbitrage strategy**:
* **Short Sell TARG (Company B):** If the deal fails, TARG's price will plummet back toward $70, and you profit from the short.
* **A Simpler Approach for Retail:** While not a perfect, risk-free arbitrage, a retail trader might simply **reduce or sell their existing exposure** to TARG, effectively taking a neutral-to-bearish stance against the Polymarket bet.
**The Outcome:**
* **If the deal goes through:**
* Your Polymarket "Yes" shares settle at $1.00. You make a **$0.20 profit per share**.
* Your short on TARG stock loses money (as the price rises to $100), capping your overall profit but limiting the catastrophic loss if you were only long the stock.
* **If the deal fails:**
* Your Polymarket "Yes" shares become worthless. You lose your investment there.
* Your short position on TARG profits massively as the stock crashes to $70. This profit offsets the Polymarket loss.
The goal is to size the positions so that the profit from one side covers the loss on the other, and the net result is a gain regardless of the outcome, thanks to the initial mispricing.
#### **Key Challenges and Risks**
This is not a simple, risk-free exploit. It's a complex strategy with significant hurdles:
1. **Correlation is Not Causation:** Stock prices are influenced by countless factors (earnings, sector news, macroeconomics). Isolating the price movement solely related to the event in question is incredibly difficult.
2. **Execution Friction:** Transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, and, in the case of short selling, borrow fees can eat into potential profits.
3. **Liquidity Risk:** Polymarket markets can be illiquid, making it hard to enter or exit large positions without moving the price.
4. **Settlement Timing:** The "resolution" of the event may not align perfectly with the stock price movement, creating temporary imbalances.
5. **Regulatory & Counterparty Risk:** Polymarket operates in a regulatory gray area. Stock trading is highly regulated but carries broker risk.
**Conclusion**
The emergence of platforms like Polymarket creates a fascinating new dimension for traders. The ability to take a direct, pure bet on a binary event provides a clear signal that can be compared against the noisy, multi-factor-driven stock market.
While executing a true, risk-free arbitrage "fork" between Polymarket and stocks is exceptionally challenging and reserved for sophisticated players, the principle is powerful. It allows traders to express nuanced views, hedge existing exposures in innovative ways, and ultimately, helps in the price discovery process for future events. For the astute observer, monitoring these two markets in tandem provides a unique and powerful lens on the future.
@polymarket @polymarkettrade
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Glider. Potential Airdrop from the Base Ecosystem Project.
Glider is a decentralized platform for automated cryptocurrency portfolio management.
The project has attracted $4 million in investments from A16z, Coinbase Ventures, and GSR. A very strong set of funds.
What do you need to do?
Go to the website using the link: https://glider.fi/r/7a70718b
Deposit liquidity (many tokens are available, but I deposited USDC).
The referral system here is multi-level. If you invite acquaintances, your referrals will receive an additional 10% bonus to their farmed points, and you will get:
30% from your 1st level referrals.
5% from the 2nd level.
2% from the 3rd level.
For every $1 of liquidity provided, you will earn 1 point per day. Figuratively speaking, holding $10,000 for 10 days will earn you 100,000 points.
You can also deposit funds not into "ready-made portfolios" but create your own. You can withdraw your funds at any time; there are no locks.
The Glider team has stated that all early and active users will be rewarded for their farmed points. If you are looking for a place to put your liquidity, this is a very good option to consider.
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Why You Should Use Base and Farcaster🤑 🤑 🤑 🤑 🤑 🤑 🤑 🤑: The Key to a Decentralized FutureIn a world where centralized platforms control our data, transactions, and social interactions, blockchain-based decentralized technologies offer a revolutionary approach. Base is a Layer-2 solution built on Ethereum, developed by Coinbase, making blockchain more accessible and efficient. Farcaster is a decentralized social protocol that enables the creation of open social networks without intermediaries. Together, they form a powerful Web3 ecosystem where users regain control over their assets and connections. In this article, we’ll explore why these technologies deserve your attention and how their integration is changing the game.What is Base and Why Does It Outperform Ethereum?Ethereum is the foundation of modern blockchain, but its scalability issues — high fees and slow transactions — hinder mass adoption. Base, a Layer-2 network built on Optimism’s optimistic rollups, solves these pain points by processing transactions off-chain and settling only the results on Ethereum. Launched by Coinbase in 2023, Base already handles over 35 transactions per second (TPS), boasts a $4 billion TVL, and surpasses competitors like Arbitrum in transaction volume.Benefits of Base for Users and Developers:Low fees and high speed: Transactions cost pennies (vs. $10–50 on Ethereum), with near-instant processing. Ideal for DeFi, NFTs, and gaming.
Ethereum-level security: Inherits Ethereum’s Proof-of-Stake consensus, ensuring protection from attacks and data immutability. No separate token needed — ETH is used for gas.
Developer-friendly: EVM compatibility allows seamless smart contract migration. Tools like gasless transactions and cross-chain bridges simplify dApp development. Coinbase provides access to 110 million users and $80 billion in assets.
Scalability and interoperability: Supports protocols like Aave, Chainlink, and Uniswap, making Base a hub for DeFi, gaming, and loyalty programs. Built on the OP Stack, it contributes to the "Superchain" — a network of interconnected L2s.
According to DefiLlama, Base ranks 7th in daily active addresses across all blockchains, with nearly 1 million users. It’s not just a network — it’s a bridge to a billion Web3 users, as envisioned by Base creator Jesse Pollak.Farcaster: A Censorship-Resistant Decentralized Social NetworkTraditional social platforms like X or Facebook monetize your data, censor content, and trap you in algorithmic feeds. Farcaster, launched in 2021 by former Coinbase employees Dan Romero and Varun Srinivasan, is an open protocol for building decentralized social networks. It runs on Optimism (Ethereum L2) with a hybrid architecture: identity on-chain, content off-chain in "hubs" for speed.Why Farcaster Beats Centralized Platforms:Ownership of data and identity: Your profile (FID) and social graph (followers, posts) belong to you. Migrate between apps (e.g., Warpcast — the main Twitter-like client) without losing your audience. No corporate bans.
Privacy and censorship resistance: Blockchain ensures post (cast) immutability and transparent interactions. Smart contracts automate processes. Frames (mini-apps in posts) let you perform on-chain actions directly in your feed — from trading NFTs to voting.
Creator monetization: SocialFi features let you tokenize content, receive tips in USDC, or launch creator tokens. A $25,000 weekly rewards program supports top users.
Open for developers: Open-source protocol with APIs for dApp building. Over 350,000 signups and 80,000 DAU — growing faster than Bluesky or Mastodon.
Farcaster isn’t one app — it’s an ecosystem: from analytics to token-gated communities. In May 2024, it raised $150 million from Paradigm and a16z, validating its potential.Base + Farcaster Integration: Synergy for Web3Individually, Base and Farcaster are powerful. Together, they’re revolutionary. Farcaster integrates with Base for username registration and transactions, leveraging L2’s low fees for mass onboarding.Key Advantages of the Integration:Scalable microtransactions: With USDC on Base, Farcaster enables cheap tips, airdrops ($110,000 already distributed), and gasless Frames. This expands SocialFi to 100+ million Coinbase users.
Ecosystem growth: Integration with Coinbase Wallet 2.0 lets you post, trade, and launch mini-apps from your wallet. Base hosts Farcaster tools (e.g., Clanker for token launches), boosting engagement.
SocialFi innovation: Cross-chain with Solana and BNB, AI agents for automation, meme coin launches. Farcaster surpassed 100,000 funded wallets, with Base as the low-barrier entry point.
Economic benefits: Base’s low fees make Farcaster accessible to beginners, enabling DeFi integrations (trading, lending) directly in social feeds.
This synergy turns Web3 from abstraction into everyday reality: social + finance, no middlemen.Conclusion: Time to Switch to Base and FarcasterIn 2025, as blockchain goes mainstream, Base and Farcaster deliver practical solutions: cheap, secure transactions and true social freedom. Base scales Ethereum for billions, Farcaster decentralizes social, and their integration builds an ecosystem where you are in control.Get started: Download Coinbase Wallet → explore Base
Sign up on Warpcast → join Farcaster
The future is decentralized. Join today — don’t miss the Web3 revolution.