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yamada.base.eth

@yamada

# Translation: Estimation of Hyperliquid's Second Major Airdrop Personally, against the backdrop of this intensifying competition, I believe the likelihood of Hyperliquid conducting a second major airdrop is increasing. Therefore, while this remains purely in the realm of speculation, I would like to attempt to estimate the distribution amount should an airdrop occur. First, let's confirm the existing facts. Currently, approximately 390 million $HYPE tokens are allocated for the community, with 1 $HYPE trading at around $29.5. Next, I'll establish the assumptions for this estimation: 1. Assume that one-third of the aforementioned community tokens will be distributed in the second airdrop. 2. Assume that distribution targets include both Hyperliquid mainnet users and Hyperliquid EVM users. 3. Assume the allocation ratio is 9 for Hyperliquid mainnet users and 1 for Hyperliquid EVM users. * Distribution to Hyperliquid mainnet users: approximately 117 million $HYPE * Distribution to Hyperliquid EVM users: approximately 13 million $HYPE Based on these assumptions, the results of the estimation are shown in the table below. (*The estimation utilizes AI tools) The distribution to Hyperliquid mainnet users is expected to be linear based on trading volume, so this may not be particularly useful. On the other hand, the distribution to Hyperliquid EVM users may adopt a tier system, in which case users in higher tiers with relatively fewer participants could potentially receive distributions in the range of several thousand dollars, as suggested by the estimation results. **Important Disclaimer:** The above is speculation based on publicly available information and personal assumptions, and may contain a significant amount of wishful thinking. It does not guarantee the existence, conditions, or distribution amounts of any actual airdrop. Please treat this as reference information only. Finally, allow me to share my personal thoughts. Predicting token prices is extremely difficult, and the project team bears no responsibility whatsoever. However, I do feel that if they had distributed even a portion of the balance (say, one-sixth) as an airdrop when $HYPE tokens were trading at their peak, the market impact might have been greater. Of course, this is merely hindsight.
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