tonydackie

@tonydackie.eth

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@tonydackie.eth

@clanker deploy token TDK (Tony Dackie)

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@tonydackie.eth

Tariffs story is getting boring, the market will ignore the tariff news in the near future, $BTC will run first, pulling #btc.d up, and altss will come when btc.d starts to collapse. In this wave, the market needs a new narrative from the bookmaker, AI or memes are old.

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@tonydackie.eth

Confused about $ETH and altcoin season! 1. $ETH has continued to go deep into the sw accumulation zone from 2022 along with bad macro due to tariffs. If it breaks past $1k without recovery, in the next 1 to 2 weeks, the possibility of downtrend confirmed. 2. This crypto cycle has been brutally intervened by Trump with tariffs, not only crypto but the entire financial market has collapsed. The general position is that the whole world is equally poor and this poverty cannot be restored in a few days. 3. The bright spot is that this is a man-made crisis, not a system collapse, so if one of the parties backs down after "achieving their goal" or "can't take it anymore", the crisis will stop and everything will recover.

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@tonydackie.eth

Based on history data, if downtrend start from here, accumulating phase will start about 68 weeks, price sideway from 1k to 1k8. Current market condition is not good for all altcoins, since ETH will start sideway with low volume and the other altcoins will become slow rug. This crisis is not only happening with crypto but also with traditional market. Hopefully everything will end soon and the trade war will not last too long.

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@tonydackie.eth

At this point, one article about $ETH per week is probably enough, because now just going down ETH will make the alts market unable to move, because ETH is the main pair of most altcoins. The price is expected to test 1k6 and sw in 2 months. I will update ETH weekly.

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@bankr deploy token name Tony, token symbol TONY

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@tonydackie.eth

$ETH has crashed 200 prices since my last analysis. This phase is like probing the bottom, the volume is super small, easy for whales to manipulate the price, this area cannot lose in the long term, so anyone with money can consider buying. But not to increase immediately!

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@tonydackie.eth

The long-term weekly support has broken, if there is no breakthrough next week, the $ETH chart will enter a sideways and decreasing phase, the accumulation time must be calculated in months.

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@tonydackie.eth

Although the price is volatile, the $2k ~ $2k2 zone is forming support. If $ETH holds this price for 1 ~ 2 months, it will form strong support and be ready to bounce to the $2k7 resistance zone (previously 3-week accumulation support). To increase again, ETH needs to hold this price level.

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@tonydackie.eth

If based on technical analysis, currently all price lines in general and $ETH in particular have broken the trend, the d1 candle dead cat bounce confirmed, everything is very bad. What can be relied on now is faith... https://x.com/captain_dackie/status/1896785173783716017

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@tonydackie.eth

If the definition of alt ss hasn’t changed, and #btcd continues to rise, then 70% will be the next target, and #btcd will dump. Alt ss will happen by the end of the year, marking the end of a brilliant season. If you’ve made it this far, instead of panicking and selling off, choose the right ship and wait.

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@tonydackie.eth

Alt ss are columns of dump #btcd like this, so if you're asking whether alt ss has happened this season or not, my answer is no. Unless the definition of alt ss has changed, and #Bitcoin is no longer a part of the crypto market but has become a separate asset class.

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@tonydackie.eth

Finally $ETH has moved against $BTC, despite the Bybit exchange incident causing $1.4B in damage. Alt ss will come when this chart crosses 0.033, funds are still buying ETH, big hands are still buying ETH, only retail is bearish on ETH, everything is good.

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0.033 is the threshold this chart needs to surpass in order to bring ETH back. The second-ranked market is being accumulated and hyped by many large funds, major KOLs, and even the presidential household. When $ETH is unleashed, the altseason will make a comeback.

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@tonydackie.eth

CPI came in worse than expected, the economy is struggling, and inflation continues to rise. The FED may not be able to continue cutting interest rates as anticipated. Bearish.

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@tonydackie.eth

I took profits from the last wave; I felt the hype in the market and was able to cash out on the holdings I had. However, currently my account is still down 66% compared to the all-time high. Why is that? I held onto tech coins and out-of-trend coins during the last wave, as shown in the picture above. Although the altcoin season has arrived and my account increased, it was overshadowed by the performance of AI and meme coins. So when taking profits, I transferred most of my funds into ETH and trending coins instead of going into BTC and stablecoins.

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@tonydackie.eth

What many people have not realized is that the $ETH / $BTC chart has been very low and consistently declining throughout the end of 2023 up to now. Even though we will see two altcoin rallies in 2024, why is that? Because ETH is no longer the focal point for altcoin investments; that role has shifted to SOL. This shift has resulted in technology-related altcoins underperforming during both bullish waves in 2024. The game has changed. For technology altcoins in general and $ETH in particular to stage a comeback, this chart needs to reverse its trend. The sideways movement hasn’t even begun yet, and historically, we may need to consider a timeframe of about 3 to 6 months.

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@tonydackie.eth

Alt SS will happen in a BTC.D downtrend (if it occurs); currently, BTC.D is still hovering around resistance at 60 ~ 61. We need to wait for signs of a reversal. The wick at 64 is strong and beautiful, but it didn't form a setup because it didn't decrease the following day. Just a 5% move is enough for everyone to get back 🔥

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@tonydackie.eth

$ETH has not been able to close the candle as expected, so it is anticipated that the price will fluctuate and accumulate in this range for a few weeks. If there is no positive news, I believe this is the final accumulation zone for wave trading, ETH + altcoins.

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@tonydackie.eth

Despite the blackswan yesterday, $ETH managed to close with a beautiful green pin bar. If today, by some miraculous way, it closes the candle from 3K+ -> time to be bullish. Those who just need to survive after yesterday's sweep, without needing to buy the dip, deserve 💯 points.

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