@tiro-xiii.base.eth
The Fed just paused rate cuts. Polymarket had it priced at 98%… and crypto barely moved.
Now layer in war risk, shutdown odds at 70%, and de-leveraging across markets. In the last shutdown, BTC dropped ~14%.
$88K → $85K → $80K becomes the key battlefield. Short-term pain, long-term conviction.
Full macro + cycle breakdown here 👇
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