There are 7 clones of Degen and zero clones of Farcaster

what does that tell us?

People would rather put in minimal effort to try to get rich quick than chew glass and stare into the abyss.

But I also liked your take, and think you're mostly right.

Head of Engineering at Courtyard.io, bringing physical collectibles onchain. nf.td/joe /courtyard /backend

Because I'm interested to see the development of the degen tipping culture now that allowances are reduced so much. I think it's possible (10% probability?) that degen remains dominant and people start tipping from their own holdings.