I was wondering, if no vote results have come in, why is the market shifting to appear to be pricing in Trump?

Then remembered institutional capital has crazy methods of gaining alpha, they prolly got drones flying over the polling places analyzing demographic data on voter turnout and shit

which markets? a little volatility but not really seeing any cohesive signals like that

It’s not just prediction markets - Crypto, stocks etc

i don't think institutional capital is influencing much here

can't imagine LPs investing in a fund that deploys to prediction markets. maybe in the future tho

https://youtu.be/9qI0LTmSr38?si=EKpXo6DIRLJ5o1St

That would be wild… but totally plausible