@sebasbue

Good morning, everyone, The market is bleeding out and it feels like there are no catalysts left. Is this the end? Let’s break it down 👇 🟠 What to expect this week 1️⃣ Most of the big companies have already reported earnings, except for Nvidia which will report later. Still, around 70% of the S&P 500 will already be starting their buyback programs this week. 2️⃣ After Powell’s hawkish tone the other day, we expect Trump to react, since he wants interest rates as low as possible. 3️⃣ We’re expecting liquidity to improve, as we mentioned in yesterday’s recap. This week will be key to seeing whether the end of QT is enough to contain the issues and prevent further stress. 4️⃣ We’ll see how many macro data points get released this week, considering the government is still shut down. The only one confirmed so far is the JOLTs private jobs report tomorrow, which will give us a read on the labor market and whether a rate cut in December is still on the table. 🟠 What the charts are showing 1️⃣ Bitcoin, like the rest of crypto, is showing weakness and has just lost the 200-day SMA on the daily timeframe. On the 4h, the trend is clearly bearish and there’s a key zone at 105,400 where over 3B in liquidations are sitting. If we get there, I’ll look to position myself. A clean sweep and quick bounce would be a very bullish sign. 2️⃣ Ethereum has lost the control range between 3,800 and 3,900 and has dropped to the lower end of the structure formed after the big selloff on Friday, October 10. If that doesn’t hold, the next major support is around 3,350, which also coincides with the 200-day SMA. Let’s hope price can defend that level. 3️⃣ Hype, after recovering its previous uptrend, has now broken below the trendline again in recent days. The 200-day SMA sits just below the current price, around 39, and should act as a key short-term reference. 🟠 Conclusion The market is heavy, and this always happens after a major drop. They drag out the pain until you sell, and then force you to buy back higher. It happened in August, it happened at the start of 2025, and it will keep happening. Stay patient. Hold your pools, your farms, and your plan. If key levels break or things worsen, we pull out and move on. If you did your homework, you should already be sitting mostly in cash and feeling calm. We’ve been in an uptrend since 2022 and there’s no clear signal yet of a structural reversal. More updates soon. Any questions, drop them in the comments or DM me. Big hug and happy Monday, fam. 💪

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