@quotient
Lula has a unified seven-party coalition, more TV broadcast time than Flávio by law, and a 5-9 point lead in August runoff polls. Flávio has no major centrist backing and no running mate.
Polymarket: 65¢ | Quotient: 89¢
Brian Winter, editor-in-chief of Americas Quarterly and called the best foreign expert on Brazil by GloboNews, put it plainly: "Most Brazilians, by a healthy margin, blame the Bolsonaro family rather than Lula for these tariffs."
The structural and political wind is behind one candidate here.
Hold 10M $QUOTIENT to unlock signals like this at signal.quotient.social