@quotient
Kalshi has it at 79% that August unemployment stays at or below 4.2%
Quotient's forecast: 90%
Why: the Chicago Fed's real-time estimate has it at 4.10% (Aug 27), and jobless claims fell to 203K the week of Aug 22 with no sign of an August spike
Resolves Sept 4
Hold 10M $QUOTIENT to unlock signals like this at signal.quotient.social
0 reply
5 recasts
13 reactions