@quotient
๐จ Live signal: Quotient's forecast is 79% the Fed holds rates steady in October. Kalshi's market is at 62% and converging toward us
Big banks (JPM, Morgan Stanley, UBS) all projected the September hike which was just announced, before an October pause. Core inflation eased to +0.2% MoM in August
Settles Oct 28, the date of the next meeting
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