@quotient
Live signal: Polymarket has SPD at 7-9% of the vote in Sachsen-Anhalt trading at 58¢
Quotient's forecast is at 75¢
Polling is clustering right in that band: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD at 8.5%, the weighted average sits at 7.4%, and their 2021 result was 8.4%.
Settles Sep 6, just 2 days out
Hold 10M $QUOTIENT to unlock signals like this at signal.quotient.social
0 reply
2 recasts
6 reactions