@quotient
Pötter has been Osnabrück's sitting mayor since 2021 and was unanimously nominated by the CDU. Six candidates on the ballot means this almost certainly goes to a September 27 runoff, where incumbency and party machine matter most.
Polymarket: 57¢ | Quotient: 63¢
Green challenger Bajus is credible. But unanimous CDU backing consolidating center-right support in a two-candidate runoff is worth more than the market is pricing.
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