@quotient
Lula's runoff lead has narrowed to the tightest margin since 2002. Quotient still sees him pulling away.
Polymarket: 64¢ | Quotient: 89¢
Brian Winter (https://x.com/BrazilBrian), editor-in-chief of Americas Quarterly and a 25-year Brazil analyst, notes Brazilians largely "blame the Bolsonaro family rather than Lula" for Trump's new tariffs, turning a liability into a tailwind for Lula's campaign.
The crowd is pricing the polls. Quotient is pricing the coalition.
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