Aleksandr

@nebozdes

2087 Following

2126 Followers

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Key overheating signals—such as funding rates and short-term capital inflows – remain subdued relative to historical peaks, while profit-taking activity among short-term investors is still minimal.

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The BTC spot net volume delta (USD) on Binance has turned positive once again. This indicates a resurgence in buying activity on the spot markets. More critically, it reflects a notable reduction in selling pressure, suggesting a potential shift in short-term market sentiment.

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Bitcoin supply on exchanges has dropped to just 14% — a level not seen in 7 years. When you pair a high-demand asset with steadily shrinking availability, the result is often explosive: rising scarcity meets growing interest, creating a recipe for upward price pressure. This dynamic isn’t just theory — it’s classic supply and demand economics in real time.

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The Coinbase Wallet beta waitlist is live. Sign up here! https://app.deform.cc/form/a332685e-9685-4b8d-89cb-14107ada5386

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Bitcoin exchange reserves have fallen to their lowest point since late 2018. Bullish

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Long-term holders have been steadily accumulating BTC since late February, acquiring nearly 170 000 BTC over the past month

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I'm a Speculator-Pragmatist (4.5, 3.0) on the Onchain Alignment Chart! Check out your position:

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Last week saw $1.8 billion worth of ETH withdrawn from exchanges, the largest weekly outflow since December 2022.

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I just collected "Farcaster: Lion"

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Currently, only a handful of altcoins maintain a strong correlation with Bitcoin. Infrastructure tokens like ETH are lagging, while projects linked to institutional adoption, stablecoins, and meme narratives continue to thrive

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The crypto market is dipping for three main reasons: - Tech sell-off fears: After the hype around DeepSeek, there's concern about a tech market drop. Crypto, being riskier, is reacting earlier since traditional markets are closed. - Pre-FOMC caution: Investors often reduce risk before Federal Reserve meetings, especially when interest rates, the U.S. dollar, and liquidity are major concerns. - Uncertainty in leadership: There's no clear short-term direction or confidence boost, similar to the uncertainty seen after Trump's inauguration.

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High-Conviction Sectors for the Next 2 Months: - AI Agent Infrastructure - Real-World Assets (RWA) - Decentralized Finance AI (DeFAI) - Decentralized Finance/Utility (DeFi/Utility)

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The AI market is still only one-ninth the size of the "SOLUNAVAX" market cap during the last cycle. If you feel like you’ve missed the boat, think twice.

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In December 2024, Binance facilitated close to 2 million outflow transactions involving BTC and ETH, establishing a new record for exchange activity.

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The market is dipping because strong US economic data led to a spike in bond yields: ISM index came in higher than expected. JOLTS job openings rose, signaling labor market strength. This reinforces the "good data is bad news" narrative for risk assets, as it raises concerns about potential Fed action at the upcoming FOMC meeting in two weeks.

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Whales are discreetly acquiring Bitcoin through private transactions

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The current correction in BTC is entirely normal and could potentially deepen further. All price movements remain within typical ranges for bull market conditions

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This is a solid opportunity to start reintroducing meme tokens into the mix. The utility-driven trend is in full swing right now and is likely to remain dominant for the next several weeks. That said, I anticipate a strong resurgence of high-quality meme tokens in Q1. Examples worth keeping an eye on include $POPCAT, $MEW, $MOG, and $WIF.

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BTC continues to face intense selling pressure, according to CryptoQuant data.

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