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borodutch
@farcasteradmin.eth
i'm going to try upgrading Carole to lvl 5 after today's jackpot upgrades 2-3, 3-4 went smoothly, first try i'm afraid because it might mean that my next upgrade is going to fail... 20k $eggs fml
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Mikado
@mikadoe.eth
Well that's not how probability works but it certainly is how knowing probability makes you feel. Thanks for the tip btw 🫶
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borodutch
@farcasteradmin.eth
2->3: .6 success, 3->4: .3 success, which means i had 18% chance of this happening (this happened) now, the next upgrade has .1 chance of success which means: .6*.3*.1=1.8% chance my new upgrade succeeds from the first try 1/55.5 chance that it works yep, this is how it works iirc with unconnected events
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