proxy studio

Your chances of hitting 100xs go way down as technology continues to equalize access to information, data, and compute

Don’t think hitting the 100x is very hard, it’s holding the 100x that’s the hard part

One mental model I’ve used for some elements of speculative markets is information warfare. I think it’s an extremely dangerous assumption to believe that access to data, information or compute will tend towards equality

I'll take the other side of that. even if it isn't captured directly, there's going to be a lot of inference going into info deserts. and we haven't seen what agentic consortiums solve with such dynamics.

𝖒𝖆𝖓𝖉𝖆𝖙𝖚𝖒 𝖆𝖉 𝖆𝖘𝖙𝖗𝖆

I love the optimism that you’re expressing and that drives what @six is saying 

I want to believe, I want to believe so bad a big part of me does

I’m just a skeptic by nature so I’m aware of another future that looms

you're right, by no means is it guaranteed, and with events like Internet Archive getting attacked, there's no guarantee that information is as permanent as it's treated.

then again, people in desperation are going to gravitate to commodities like OSINT, which can lead to gray edge. likewise, leaks will continue as long as databases are unlocked by humans.

we're struggling to attend to FOSS, but I'm still optimistic the counterculture is upheld by a concentrated scene. eventually we'll see whichever zeitgeist disrupts this.

I actually think the pretty narrow limits of the discourse here go to my point 

Either “agentic consortiums solve inequality” or “no, this is just capitalism and we’ll fight fiercely for anything of value” 

Both presume tremendous value creation, both imply a general up and to the right progress accelerated by tech. This is not some natural assumption everyone should have, but the result of extremely active information warfare. 

I’m an optimist, I believe in positive futures but I try not to fall into glassy eyed “it’s all fixed we just wait”