@kingmonika
The Price of Arrogance: The Harvesting Game of "Cognitive Dimensionality Reduction" on Polymarket
In predicting the market, there is a kind of windfall that I call the 'Western Pride Tax'.
Watching the odds of Ayatollah Khamenei stepping down break through 30% on Polymarket, what I see is not risk, but perfect cognitive arbitrage. As former foreign exchange analysts, regardless of any ideology, looking solely at the physical structure of geopolitics, these European and American traders are indulging in Tehran with Hollywood scripts.
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