full time baseball data nerd | part time crypto degen
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there are some players who were so far ahead of their eras.
ted williams understood and wrote about matching his swing plane to each pitch.
in the statcast era, we now have the data to prove what williams figured out on his own
https://x.com/cade_cavin55/status/2057163359074623870?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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top slates for today's games:
1. braves vs marlins
- the braves are currently rolling with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games
- chris sale is toeing the rubber carrying a 1.96 era into this start
2. dodgers vs padres
- ohtani on the mound with the best era in baseball against a padres team that's 7-3 in their last 10 games
- the padres' gavin sheets is rolling with a .694 woba over the last week
3. jays vs yankees
- cam schlittler brings his 1.35 era against a lineup featuring two hot hitters in varsho and jesus sanchez
- jazz chisholm looks to keep rolling with a 0.519 woba in his last 7 games
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the mets top of the order was firing on all cylinders yesterday
- bo bichette went deep twice generating 2.76 runs above expected
- juan soto also went deep hitting a 110.2 mph bomb 434 ft in the 7th
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Top casts
this is equivalent to 107 mph at the major league level
https://x.com/jomboymedia/status/1956122515006480905?s=46&t=dGdml54Bn5gAjlxSoZTivg
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what are some of the best fc native physical good products?
planning some early holiday shopping using my fc rewards.
top of my mind is humankind by @samantha and merch by @mintedmerch.
would appreciate some more suggestions!
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what's going on with rafael devers—a deep dive with help from a custom claude statcast skill
rafael devers is a career .274 / .346 / .500 hitter with a .357 woba. this year, he's hitting .210 / .250 / .290 with a .241 woba. he's walking less, hitting the ball with less authority, and striking out at a career high.
he's in the middle of a 10 yr / $313.5m contract that ends in 2033 which has many giants fans wondering if buster posey traded for a toxic contract.
so, what's causing rafael devers' abysmal start?
- a continual bat speed decline: his average bat speed now sits below league average. his average bat speed has fallen from 73.4 mph in 2023 to 71.2 mph this year
- a drop in fast swing%: similar to his bat speed, his fast swing% has dropped to 15.1%, much lower than his career average of 24.7%. fast swings generate +0.6 run value per 100 while not fast swings genearte -3.2 run value per 100
- zone contact issues: devers is swinging through pitches in the zone at a career high rate. he makes contact on balls in the zone about 68.7% of the time, a huge dip from his 75.3% career average and 84% league average
continuing this in a thread to include more screenshots + videos
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this is probably one of the first features im quite excited about.
collectibles exist in the middle between collector coins and collecting articles (like mirror).
im hesitant to coin anything and everything due to the expectations inherent to launching a coin.
the vast majority of “collectors” are speculators. speculators expect the creators to launch an lp with fees earned, marketing, and price appreciation.
while the creator doesnt have to meet those expectations, it’s still quite the mental load to deal with.
mirror and other content collecting protocols require the creators to develop and leverage their followings to drive discovery and collections.
writing an article and turning it into a thread or other consumable form of media is additional work on top building a following on various social media platform.
this is why im excited for collectibles, especially as a niche content caster.
my content and distribution is farcaster native and specific. it doesn’t exist outside of here and i appreciate that followers can collect my casts without navigating off the platform (less friction for me, less drop off for farcaster).
this feels similar to tipping tuesday, but the tipper gets the additional benefit of a 1:1 collectible (assuming there’s no bidding war).
this also increases potential revenue streams (reward + tips + collectibles) to make creating more sustainable. i have no expectation of sustainability, but it’s a nice to have multiple options for earning.
while i think people will inherently speculate on collectibles, there’s less expectation placed on the creator.
coining everything drives dilution for collectors and potentially for the creators brand.
collectibles become more manageable and allow for more experimentation for creators (token-gated casts, maybe?) without over dilution or burning true collectors caught in a speculative bubble.
im genuinely excited that collectibles will be my first foray back into creating them since the first bull run way back when.
