@kagami
bettors lost ~$173k dollars betting on yordan alvarez hitting a homer at coors, likely assuming coors field is a known hitters paradise and because he’s off to a torrid start (0.511 woba) and is 4th in the league with
sounds like a great bet, right. but what does the data tell us about this?
over the past 3 season, coors is actually only the 8th best park for homers. there’s only been 5% more homers observed at coors
coors is actually the best for doubles (20% more observed) and triples (101% more observed)
had bettors looked at the data, it may have been more profitable to take the other side of this bet
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