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For everyone else, including Buffett, doing short-term speculation is like being a novice at the mercy of the market. So if you choose to increase or withdraw your investment based on predicting when the Israel-Palestine war or the Russia-Ukraine war will end, you're definitely a novice.
Did you expect Trump to suddenly launch an attack on Iran two days ago? When you saw both sides going all out and Iran daring to retaliate against the US military bases in the Middle East, and you thought that this would surely lead to a larger-scale retaliation from the US, Trump suddenly announced a peace agreement, saying that Iran was just pretending, launched a few symbolic missiles that were all intercepted, and had actually submitted.
Did you expect that? Don't be a Monday morning quarterback. Except for Trump, no one knows what will happen next. Although we can allocate our money in different investments, our focus should always be on betting in one direction, that is, "the world will eventually move towards peace". If we want to make money, we can only make money from peace.
How did we arrive at this conclusion? Through the process of elimination. First of all, you can't make money by constantly changing your investment strategies. Even Buffett can't make money that way. So, brother, don't even try. You're no match for the market.
Secondly, can we bet that there will always be conflicts in the world? The world tends to divide after a long period of unity and unite after a long period of division. Although there will definitely be a period of peace after a long war, conflicts will surely arise again when peace lasts for a long time and interests are unevenly distributed.
So since we can bet to make money from long-term peace, can we bet to make money from inevitable conflicts and gain assets during conflicts? Let's make a comparison. How do I make money from peace? It's simple. 0 reply
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