Jairson Fonseca

@jairson99

59 Following

4 Followers

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Jairson Fonseca

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If prediction markets (Polymarket in the graphic) say something is 25% likely to happen, it really is ~25% likely to happen. For example, in the chart you'll see events that are expected to happen 22.5% of the time (25% bracket), are predicted to happen 21-22% of the time by Polymarket bettors. Pretty close. https://dune.com/alexmccullough/how-accurate-is-polymarket It's easy to look at events after the fact and think they were 100% certainties. e.g. "Trump was certain to win the election". But the markets at the time were saying it was a coinflip ~55%. Hard for many to understand this after the fact. But markets are well calibrated with reality.

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OneFootball Club

@onefootballclub

Win 1 of 10 Apple iPhone 16e! 📱✨ 👇 Here's how: 1. Download the OneFootball app 2. Go to Profile 👉 Join OneFootball Club 3. You're in ✅

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Jairson Fonseca

https://warpcast.com/onefootballclub/0xc8b99e37

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gm friends let's get this bread today

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The new Snow White has a 1.6 on IMDb ☠️

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The mini app trials continue with @megapot. Simple lottery app where you pay $1 to win 300k App worked smooth! In general just loving how fast and easy it is to do stuff with mini apps

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Farcaster but it’s RuneScape themed

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I earned $86.81 from farcaster so far You might think it's not a lot, but it's $86.81 more than what I earn from a social platform on average

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Jairson Fonseca

How u doing it?

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Jairson Fonseca

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Jairson Fonseca

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cypherpunk mfers

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Jairson Fonseca

Club is the ticker Fam

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Jairson Fonseca

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Jairson Fonseca

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Shout out to the Farcaster community!

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Jairson Fonseca

A fellow gamer nice

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Jairson Fonseca

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Jairson Fonseca

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