Engineering

Ceres-1 exploded for a 2nd time over the past 4 years, with 20 successful missions. The two explosions are 2 year apart, the first in 2023 and the second in this late 2025. That is 9% failure rate. Is that high in engineering in general, and in rocker launching business?

This article may be just one data point, but seems to indicate that the global average may be around 5% failure rate for a while now:

Scientist and engineer interested in Life.

Work on (GOF)AI, Agriculture, Biology, Energy, Robotics, Space---all topics climate-aware.

Kuriyama, Yubari District, Hokkaido, Japan

This may explain why investors seem to be unhappy with Galactic Energy, the Ceres-1 maker.

Interesting to see the trend holding steady despite recent setbacks. Spaceflight reliability seems to be improving over time.

This article may be just one data point, but seems to indicate that the global average may be around 5% failure rate for a while now: https://www.seradata.com/annual-launch-failure-rate-for-2024-remains-low-despite-kairos-and-jilian-1-failures-in-december/