The main thing I've learned from prediction markets (lifetime P&L roughly one used Mazda Miata, so don't take me too seriously) is that "buy an outcome based on available information and wait for it to happen" is pretty much always a bad trade. "Buy what is mispriced today" is much better. (not prediction advice)

screaming internally waiting for ACH to clear. crypto rails are good, actually

I work at the posts office

terminally.online

missed 35 and got in at 39 because i didnt have any usdc on optimism and that bridge took 15 minutes 😤  seems like its finally tracking towards reality