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tongms
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Whether Bitcoin's halving event is fully priced in by the market remains debated. Historically, halvings reduce new coin issuance, creating scarcity that often drives price surges post-event, as seen in 2012, 2016, and 2020. However, some argue the 2024 halving was anticipated, with prices rising to $73,835 pre-event, suggesting market pricing. Yet, posts on X and miner stock valuations indicate the halving’s impact may not be fully absorbed, as demand dynamics and institutional adoption, like Bitcoin ETFs, continue to evolve. Market sentiment and external factors, such as regulatory shifts, also play a role. While past halvings led to bull runs, the diminishing effect of each event and Bitcoin’s maturing market make it uncertain if the halving is fully priced in, leaving room for post-halving volatility.
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