Founders

i now stay away from founders building multiple moonshot projects at once 

you have 120mins (tops) of great creative, high focus work everyday 

if you’re splitting that across 2 or 3 things, you’ll midcurve it & have 2 or 3 ok ok products (I promise. not everybody is elon)

earn the right to dabble in multiple things after you’ve hit a home run 

concentrated bets are table stakes

or, you’re your own biggest enemy 

I’ve been my own enemy for most of my lifee. so I know.

big disagree here

too many founders not knowing when to quit and waste their time on a project that would never work

diversity of projects builds the product launching muscle

cto @ bwl.gg, 100M+ users (bdut.ch) 🙏 $eggs is life

or just launch new features / build on your current product? agree on the product launching muscle bit 

if you’re obsessed but objective you will leave when it’s the right time

no new features can ever revive a dead product

almost no one can leave at the right time

only empirical evidence to above, but overwhelming evidence

a good enough feature is virtually a pivot for mini apps (given how light weight they are), also, i'm particularly talking about "moonshot" products which ideally have a lot of substance / longevity to them

you're talking about launching another mini app altogether if this is a pivot, not "adding a feature"

every product should be moonshot, otherwise why work on it?

success only partially depends on the team, the idea and the execution, there are factors like market and timing, too

you can be a brilliant builder launching at a wrong time, by pure luck

or you can be a dumbass who launched a memecoin on the top of the cycle and get generational wealth

startups are as much a lottery as a skill game (though, with way better odds than any other lottery)

if you're a good ceo, you're maximizing the chances of success, not minimizing them by following your ego (e.g. believing in something that in retrospect would be a mistake)

call me a loser, but i believe that market and timing are even more important than the team, the idea, and the execution

i've seen one too many vaporware companies that built generational wealth for everyone involved

i've also seen one too many GREAT builders virtually dying without ANY significant traction

don't play games that have low chances of winning when there are magnitudes more games that have high chances of winning

by not taking the routes of less resistance you're lagging your success (that is exponential) risking to be forever left in the beginning of exponential success

unless, of course, you think you're the exception to the rule and you will be among VERY few that grind through and succeed (e.g. Polymarket)

imo bad take to go against statistics, might as well believe that anyone can become an olympic athlete

100% on the end parts -- markets do define a lot of success, great deal of luck involved (but that's also a loser's excuse don't u think? like even we @ castmoney delayed a token because 'market was bad' and i think that's a mid curve take. if u believe in it then build through winter

but it's only counted as obsession / moonshot if you don't accept defeat