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Thomas
@aviationdoctor.eth
If I predict rain tomorrow based on satellite and radar imagery showing a cold front forming, and it does rain, I’m right. If I predict rain because I saw a black cat walk under a ladder, and it rains, am I right (but for the wrong reasons) or am I just wrong? Can one ever be right for the wrong reasons?
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Ertan Dogrultan
@ertan
You can test for causality in your reasoning for being right and that's really what matters https://ftp.cs.ucla.edu/pub/stat_ser/r350.pdf
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