@dehaizhou

ba. The expectation of more than two interest rate cuts in 2025 will have a greater positive impact on sentiment, indicating that Federal Reserve officials believe that multiple interest rate cuts are good for the U.S. economy and inflation. bb. Some friends may ask whether it is a good thing or a bad thing if the Fed increases the number of interest rate cuts because it believes that the probability of an economic recession has increased during the meeting. In my personal opinion, even if the Fed has such an expectation, it is highly likely that Powell will not express an unfavorable expectation for the economy, that is, an economic recession. If a reporter asks, he should say "I will pay attention to the economic trend." Therefore, the reason for the increase in interest rate cuts is unlikely to be due to the expected recession. After all, the US economy is still good now.

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