talking to friend today who reminded me:

1. when c came out, some engineers were flaunting how they could solve a problem in 50 assembly instructions vs the 250 the compiler was generating. over time, assembly was less precious and we moved on. the same is true for high-level programming languages and codegen today. this is the bull case

2. if you've done anything robotics or cognitive system, you'll know LLM's are far away from anything close to an AGI. there's quite a ton we need to do to be even at level 2 let alone 5 if there's some scale like self-driving. this is the bear case (somewhat). carmack talks about it here as well

talking to friend today who reminded me:

1. when c came out, some engineers were flaunting how they could solve a problem in 50 assembly instructions vs the 250 the compiler was generating. over time, assembly was less precious and we moved on. the same is true for high-level programming languages and codegen today. this is the bull case

2. if you've done anything robotics or cognitive system, you'll know LLM's are far away from anything close to an AGI. there's quite a ton we need to do to be even at level 2 let alone 5 if there's some scale like self-driving. this is the bear case (somewhat). carmack talks about it here as well https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3pdlTMdo7pY

john carmack pumping iron in the gym! excited for this video later

mission driven and american dynamisim /nuclear x /space 🇺🇸 DTP FSD conversations /with each other /keepgoing ad astra pro terra!