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Daren Matsuoka
@darenmatsuoka
The crypto industry is maturing. At the end of last year, we proposed 5 metrics to watch closely in 2025 to track the industry’s continued growth and development. Here’s what the data looks like halfway through the year. 👇
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Daren Matsuoka pfp
Daren Matsuoka
@darenmatsuoka
1/ Monthly mobile wallet users: +23% 2025 average: 34.4M monthly active mobile wallet users 2024 average: 27.9M monthly active mobile wallet users Why it matters: Wallet infrastructure has significantly improved — we have low transaction fees, new account abstraction protocols (EIP-7702), embedded wallet products (Privy, Turnkey, Dynamic), etc. Now is a better time than ever to build a next-generation mobile wallet. Relevant news: - This month Stripe acquired Privy — a leading wallet infrastructure provider. Source: a16z crypto (as of May 2025)
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Daren Matsuoka pfp
Daren Matsuoka
@darenmatsuoka
2/ Adjusted stablecoin transaction volume: +49% 2025 average: $702B monthly adjusted stablecoin volume 2024 average: $472B monthly adjusted stablecoin volume Why it matters: Stablecoins have found product market fit. We can now send dollars in less than 1 second, for less than 1 cent — making stablecoins a great product for payments. Big financial institutions are embracing this opportunity. Relevant news: - USDC issuer Circle went public on the New York Stock Exchange - Stripe acquired stablecoin infrastructure provider Bridge and announced a handful of new products - Coinbase released an agentic payments standard with support for stablecoin payments - Visa and Mastercard enhanced stablecoin support - Meta is reportedly in talks to introduce stablecoins as a means for payouts Source: Visa (as of June 2025)
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Daren Matsuoka pfp
Daren Matsuoka
@darenmatsuoka
3/ ETP net flows (Bitcoin and Ethereum): +28% June 2025: $45B total ETP net flows ($42B BTC, $3.4B ETH) End of 2024: $35B total ETP net flows ($33B BTC, $2.4B ETH) Why it matters: Institutional capital entering crypto is a sign of the industry’s overall maturity. As regulations become more clear and the key distributors start to activate, net flows into the ETPs should continue to grow. Relevant news: - The SEC recently requested spot Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuers to update their S-1 filings, suggesting that approval could occur sometime in the near future. Source: Dune, hildobby (as of June 2025)
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Daren Matsuoka pfp
Daren Matsuoka
@darenmatsuoka
4/ DEX to CEX spot trade volume: +51% 2025 average: 17% monthly DEX-to-CEX volume 2024 average: 11% monthly DEX-to-CEX volume Why it matters: As more people come onchain, we expect to see decentralized exchange (DEX) usage increase relative to their centralized-exchange counterparts (CEXs) when it comes to trading crypto. The increasing ratio highlights the overall development of the DeFi ecosystem. Relevant news: - Coinbase just announced native DEX trading directly from the Coinbase app, making thousands of new assets available to trade. Source: The Block (as of June 2025)
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Daren Matsuoka pfp
Daren Matsuoka
@darenmatsuoka
5/ Total transaction fees (demand for blockspace): -43% 2025 average: $239M monthly transaction fees 2024 average: $439M monthly transaction fees Why it matters: The total amount of USD-denominated transaction fees shows the aggregate demand — that is, the real economic value — for blockspace on a given chain. However, this metric comes with lots of nuance, since most projects are explicitly trying to bring down fees for users. Which is why it’s important also to consider unit transaction costs — meaning the cost for a given amount of blockchain resources. Ideally, the overall demand (total transaction fees) grows, while gas fees (cost per unit of resources used) remain low. Relevant news: - Recently, we’ve seen lots of debates on X around the importance of this metric (and related metrics, like REV). Source: Dune (as of June 2025)
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Daren Matsuoka pfp
Daren Matsuoka
@darenmatsuoka
Here’s one more bonus metric I’ll be watching: the number of tokens with >$1M in monthly net revenue. As of June 2025, there are only 22 (source: Token Terminal). With the new regulatory environment and upcoming market structure legislation, the path is finally opening up for tokens to complete the economic loop. This should result in more projects accruing value directly to tokens in the form of revenue, leading to a much healthier token economy.
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Daren Matsuoka pfp
Daren Matsuoka
@darenmatsuoka
I talked about these metrics on the podcast, you can check that episode here: https://x.com/a16zcrypto/status/1936067068300050523
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Daren Matsuoka pfp
Daren Matsuoka
@darenmatsuoka
You can also read the full post here: https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/5-charts-explain-crypto/
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Daren Matsuoka pfp
Daren Matsuoka
@darenmatsuoka
None of the above should be taken as investment advice or an advertisement for investment services; please see https://a16z.com/disclosures/ for more information.
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