CryptoPolitics (cryptopolitics)

S-stability The United States has once again recognized the elected president of Venezuela not as Nicolás Maduro, but as the opposition candidate who lost in the elections. This time, Secretary of State Blinken announced Edmundo González as president: “It is clear to the United States and, more importantly, to the Venezuelan people that Edmundo González Urrieta received the most votes in the presidential elections in Venezuela on July 28.” There are no legal grounds for such statements—the country's electoral council declared Maduro the winner of the elections, but when has that stopped the U.S.? If needed, they will hold a third round of elections that isn’t even provided for by the Constitution😉 In 2019, the U.S. and 50 other countries recognized Juan Guaidó as the head of Venezuela. However, apart from the Venezuelan embassy in the U.S., he has controlled nothing in Venezuela🤷‍♂️.

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The U.S. has not changed its position on long-range weaponry The United States is allowing Ukraine to counterattack Russia with American weapons during the invasion of the Kursk region. This was stated by Sabrina Singh, Deputy Director of the Pentagon's Press Office: "Our policy does allow for Ukraine to conduct counterfires to defend itself from Russian attacks coming over border region and that border region does include Kursk and Sumy, and so they are defending themselves from Russian attacks within that region." There is currently no discussion about allowing the use of American long-range missiles to strike inside Russian territory‼️

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In Tehran, Ismail Haniyeh, the head of Hamas' political bureau, has been killed in an Israeli attack. Haniyeh was instrumental in negotiating ceasefires in Gaza and securing hostage releases, making prospects for a near-term ceasefire unlikely now. Turkey's Foreign Ministry has denounced the assassination as "abhorrent." The markets have already responded to the heightened risk of regional conflict, with Brent crude oil prices rising by 1.5%.

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Erdoğan's statement that Turkey could enter Israel "just as we entered Karabakh and Libya" is very striking, reinforcing his image as a tough Islamic leader opposing Zionism. However, it's unlikely that this will lead to any concrete actions. Erdoğan intervened in Libya during a significant crisis and acted through proxies in Karabakh, exploiting Armenia's weakness. He also intervened in Syria when Assad was vulnerable. Nowadays, he remains silent on that front. Israel is not Libya or Karabakh, so it's unlikely that this will result in anything beyond bold declarations.

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