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Benido
@benido
I really believe this sums it up, maybe I would have worded it differently, but the general idea is right. On top there are mini cycles within the macro cycle, but selling in Q4 and buying back 12 months later is not going to work like it used to. https://x.com/antiprosynth/status/1964460379154592069?s=46&t=YfmV111XTneWp8pMn5zaLA
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Tom
@croth.eth
Honestly, been wondering why we’ve been so subdued in this bull. I’m more exhausted now than I was during the bear.
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Benido
@benido
Maybe because we are/ were expecting to be higher (because we were expecting a peak in Q4). When Raoul Pal came up with his Everything Code I was scared. But the main thesis that it is all macro sounds right to me. He is wrong with regards to business and refinance cycles always being 4 years / US election centric as we find out these days. But when liquidity peaks we should prepare to sell and it doesn’t matter if it’s in Q4 or 2026.
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