BuidlGuidl

@buidlguidl

5 Following

329 Followers

BuidlGuidl pfp

Interested in learning more? Check out this article by @phipsae : https://phipsae.medium.com/building-web3-prediction-markets-how-they-work-and-where-ai-takes-them-next-e87a6b3511e6

0 reply

0 recast

2 reactions

BuidlGuidl pfp

12/ The future? Web3 prediction markets + AI agents = scalable, unbiased, 24/7 probability engines for everything from elections to biotech breakthroughs. 🔮✨

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

11/ Imagine AI agents instead: always-on, ingesting news/clinical data, spotting signals, and trading automatically—turning markets into truly real-time forecasting engines.

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

10/ Human traders have limited bandwidth and incentives. Niche markets often suffer low liquidity and herd biases, skewing forecasts.

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

9/ A key challenge is resolving off-chain events. Prediction markets rely on decentralized oracles (e.g. Optimistic Oracle) to report real-world outcomes on-chain.

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

8/ Pricing rules range from simple linear functions to Logarithmic Market Scoring Rules (LMSR), offering smoother discovery as sentiment shifts — all within the fixed payout cap.

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

7/ In AMM models, creators deposit collateral (e.g. 1 ETH) and mint equal outcome tokens (e.g. 100 Yes + 100 No at 0.01 ETH each). Prices shift with token supply.

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

6/ Order books or AMMs are used for trade execution. Order books (used by Polymarket) are costly to run fully on-chain, so hybrid models - with off-chain matching and on-chain settlement - are now more common.

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

5/ Dynamic pricing emerges from supply/demand: buying “Yes” pushes its price up (higher implied probability), while “No” falls — and you can trade anytime.

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

4/ Most are binary: two outcome tokens (“Yes” vs “No”), each pegged to a fixed payout (e.g. 1 USDC). Before resolution, 🎯 Price(Yes)+Price(No)=1 USDC.

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

3/ These markets date back to Wall Street election betting in 1884. On-chain, Polymarket users wagered over $3.3 billion in the 2024 U.S. presidential race alone.

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

2/ Prediction markets let you wager on future events, buy/sell outcome shares before resolution, and benefit from permissionless, on-chain settlement. Prices ↔ probabilities.

1 reply

0 recast

1 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

1/ 🧵 Let’s dive into Web3 prediction markets: - how they turn opinions into probabilities on-chain, - why they’re gaining traction, and - where AI could take them next.

2 replies

5 recasts

29 reactions

BuidlGuidl pfp

🎉 HUGE congrats once to our Batch #15 grads! Want to get into the next batch? Check here: 🚄 https://buidlguidl.com/batches 🚄

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

x.com/Z3R0_PA is a full-stack developer passionate about building innovative web apps and exploring the limitless potential of blockchain. From games to DeFi, he's focused on turning ideas into on-chain products. GitHub: https://github.com/Alanwiz00

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

x.com/brehmeth is diving into Ethereum application development after attending Camp BUIDL at ETHDenver. Eager to grow through hands-on experience, he's focused on completing more issues and collaborating with fellow builders in the Web3 space. GitHub: https://github.com/austinbrehm

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

x.com/dnlvskey is just getting started on their coding journey and excited to learn through hands-on experience. With a curious mindset and a supportive community, they're diving into Web3 one step at a time. GitHub: https://github.com/dnlvskey

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

x.com/Ayush_Dutt_ is a Web2 developer with 5 years of experience building sleek, scalable digital experiences. Now venturing into Web3, they're focused on blockchain, smart contracts, and creating open, user-friendly systems for the decentralized web. GitHub: https://github.com/Ayush-Dutt-Sharma

1 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

x.com/Biliqis_O is a smart contract developer and builder at BuidlGuidl Batch 15, passionate about Ethereum, Solidity, and scaling dApps with gasless UX. She’s focused on creating seamless blockchain experiences and shaping the future of Web3. GitHub: https://github.com/BiliqisO

0 reply

0 recast

0 reaction

BuidlGuidl pfp

x.com/arsiexd is a QA engineer passionate about test automation, with expertise in Playwright, TypeScript, and Go. Now diving into Web3, he’s learning Solidity, Rust, and Next.js with the goal of becoming a full-stack blockchain developer and contributing to open-source projects. GitHub: https://github.com/pavelars

2 replies

0 recast

0 reaction