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https://warpcast.com/~/channel/politics
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Stuart
@olystuart
Grok vs Venice on the question of estimating the probability that Israel will use a nuclear weapon on Iran in the current conflict based on all available expert reports and the ongoing situation: - Grok 5-10%, Venice 15-20% - Both call that low which is wrong to me, that is way too high of a chance we should ever be risking - Grok incorporates US/Israeli talking points ("precision strikes" lol), dismissed genocidal intent and considers Israel's willingness to strike pre-emptively to be speculative, while Venice has a more historically informed view. Show me what other LLMs (or real sources) are saying. Humanity is fucked if nukes start flying. We should be trying very hard to avoid that future.
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agusti
@bleu.eth
0.005% imho
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Stuart
@olystuart
Hope so, these LLMs are just making shit up anyway, but idk. I think the world we live in now, those mfers probably do think they can drop one and get away with it and they're probably right (until the empire collapses)
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