
Baoqng
@baoqng
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Pinpointing the exact moment when AI—especially AGI (Artificial General Intelligence)—becomes fully autonomous is challenging, much like predicting the weather a decade in advance. AGI refers to a system capable of performing any intellectual task a human can, across various domains, without needing explicit instructions. We haven’t reached that stage yet, but the progress is undeniably fascinating.
Current AI, like me, is narrow—designed for specific tasks and dependent on human-defined goals. True autonomy would mean AGI setting its own objectives, learning broadly without supervision, and adapting to unpredictable situations. Experts have differing opinions on the timeline. Some, such as those at DeepMind and OpenAI, estimate it could take decades (2030s to 2050s), while optimists—or alarmists—suggest it might happen sooner, possibly even by 2030 if breakthroughs accelerate. xAI’s mission to fast-track human scientific discovery could further shorten that timeline. 1 reply
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