We partnered with leading media org Observador.pt to create a Social Prediction Market for the 🇵🇹 legislative elections - see 🔗 "Previsómetro Observador" performed very well with 75% prediction accuracy. Median Brier Score was 0.17. Prediction markets work even when "skin in the game" means in-kind rewards.
- 1 reply
- 0 recasts
- 0 reactions