Alex Solleiro

@als.eth

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We partnered with leading media org Observador.pt to create a Social Prediction Market for the 🇵🇹 legislative elections - see 🔗 "Previsómetro Observador" performed very well with 75% prediction accuracy. Median Brier Score was 0.17. Prediction markets work even when "skin in the game" means in-kind rewards.

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