@abundance

Suppose you have insider info on event X happening. And suppose event X can help you make $100M (from price movement in stocks) What incentive do you have to signal to the market that event X will happen ahead of time, when you can make more money from people thinking otherwise? not only will you not send a "truth signal" in the prediction market, but you'd be sending "lie signals" instead (to lower your entry point in markets as much as possible) you shouldn’t entrust your money to anyone who doesn’t understand this - or pretends not to https://x.com/i/status/2008184149450891724

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