CHRIS DOLINSKI
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CHRIS DOLINSKI
@1dolinski
follow @1dolinski · API Coins · building APINow.fun · challenge your habits · my AI is my conversational FAQ: getfirstresponder.com/talk/1dolinski
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gm Merry Christmas all
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If you had to measure content quality How would you do it?
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what in FC or base feels like mud on the windshield to you?
I often lean on an analogy "mud on the windshield" until unfinished tasks or concerns cleared I can't see the long road towards a nice sunset ahead said another way "When the lens is dirty, all I can judge is the dirt—not the view.” “The obstruction becomes the dominant signal.”
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I often lean on an analogy "mud on the windshield" until unfinished tasks or concerns cleared I can't see the long road towards a nice sunset ahead said another way "When the lens is dirty, all I can judge is the dirt—not the view.” “The obstruction becomes the dominant signal.”
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Tokenization is a magnitude unlock Not all tokens are the same, the value of the token depends on what is tokenized Market price discovery, over time, is how it’s measured
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People can work through complexity As long as there is a tangible 10x nugget that makes the effort worth it
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proxy and synthetic exposure now it’s exposure via natural language
everyone learning about market exposure that have existed for a long time but never had access to, esp with such clarity and precision
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everyone learning about market exposure that have existed for a long time but never had access to, esp with such clarity and precision
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if then prediction markets if then [this this this this this this this this this] markets
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so many discussions in the space could be clarified by 3 ideas: 1. present value == discounted future cash flows 2. the only way for a token price to go higher is more buying than selling 3. there is a disconnect that perceived value instantly translates into price.. but that only happens when a transaction occurs
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there are single outcome markets and action and response markets
Even simplier Make a prediction market: Will X country successfully defend if Y invades
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Take an even outcome you’re indifferent to the result With 5 : 1 odds, you’re 5x more inclined to hope your outcome takes place There is the current line, what you expect to happen and what you hope to happen Visible and accessible markets do impact the outcome Prediction markets do put more focus on an outcome
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If you’ve joined base in the last week Introduce yourself
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Where’s the liquidity? Where has it come from and where is it now?
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lol, top of HN atm translation service: language of choice -- honest simple words
Hacker News: Honest Edition
dosaygo-studio.github.io
Hacker News: Honest Edition