I think every weekend I have a moment where I am wowed all over again by where AI is today it's not like it gets smarter during the weekend or something. During the week, it's somehow become routine to use it for everything we do at work. During the weekend, I will think about doing something personal. First thought will be to use a more traditional tool and then the next second I'll be like "oh I can just give this to claude" There will soon be a generation of humans who don't know any other way the leverage : price ratio of AI is insane - probably at the level of transistors

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Seeing the 'harshest critics' as an essential ingredient for entertainment value is a great way to reframe the noise. It’s a reminder that if people aren't arguing about what you're building, you probably haven't built anything meaningful yet. Glad to be in the arena with you.

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I am sympathetic to the "man in the arena" philosophy, I like being in the arena I also agree with this take that the audience makes the arena more fun https://farcaster.xyz/bleu.eth/0x8e841b21 To add on to this, the way any new thing is built is that the creator starts with no audience. They are in an empty arena and they are working on their thing. Over time, as their output takes shape, it attracts an audience - along the full spectrum i.e. fanboys on one end (creator can do nothing wrong) and haters (creator can do nothing right) and thoughtful critics in the middle. For the _entertainment_ value of the arena to be high, you actually do need the full spectrum, like all of it. The term "entertainment" in this case doesn't apply to products of a certain type. There are fans and haters of not just sports teams but simple things like a wifi router. "Entertainment" in this case refers to the entire force field around something - could be of any type. The force field itself is a thing that can watched for _entertainment_. The creator might not like all of such entertainment, but no one is really optimizing for what the creator likes. The universe pretty much always optimizes for entertainment. If the output can create no entertainment, the arena gets no audience. If the output can create true Entertainment, the audience grows enough to become part of the output itself. It becomes an input, the full spectrum becomes part of the story. In that sense, "haters" is somewhat of a negative term from the entertainment perspective. A detached narrator would likely call them "the harshest critics" (or something similar). Obviously the creator does not like that part of the spectrum and should learn how to move past (as PG rightly says) but for optimal entertainment value, it's essential. The harshest critics fuel the fans and vice versa. If a product just has one part of the spectrum, it just hasn't become truly entertaining yet. and so here we are - Farcaster became entertaining enough that we are both the input and the output. Even the harshest critics are here because there was entertainment value enough that it makes sense to be part of the spectrum. A big difference between the audience and creator is the level of risk and sacrifice (see more on my views on sacrifice in the quoted cast below). One of the reasons it made sense for Merkle and Neynar to go through this acquisition is because outside of Merkle, the next group of people who had taken the most risk on Farcaster was the Neynar team. There's really no right or wrong, high or low status between the audience and the arena. Everyone who's "in the arena" for something is in the audience for something else e.g. every SV founder watching a sports game, etc. It's kinda useful for both parties to remind each other that. When in the arena - take the risk, make the sacrifice, create that fork When in the audience - I want to say "be kind to those in the arena" but I guess what I have to say is: help create the best entertainment (alas) ps - re: forks - one might think I am against it but quite the opposite. when goals don't align, go do your own thing. Be in the arena. Godspeed

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I know the claude desktop app improved the interface for everyone but I still love the terminal interface ever since I started using claude code in the terminal, I even ask normal questions just in the terminal interface something about keyboard first interfaces on desktop is just so much better

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it's wild that we saw programming languages go from syntactical to plain english in 2 years I needed a niche slack plugin this morning - spent 30 mins and I have it now It takes a thread and exports it to markdown so you can feed it to an agent elsewhere - useful when you talk about something on slack, have an agent running and want to give it more context while it's already working on something ps - this only works for "threads" right now https://github.com/rishavmukherji/slack-thread-export

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just set up clawdbot on an old machine and it's working well personal assistant tasks usually require little compute so didn't really feel compelled to do the new Mac Mini setup that everyone on AI Twitter is pitching using an Anthropic API key, you can get quite far on old hardware

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Fun fact got interviewed by the agent that we built ourselves (aka @neynar) thanks to @gmfarcaster might be the first of its kind

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most people should be looking at prediction markets for news, not necessarily betting on them I read somewhere that @barmstrong said prediction markets benefit from insiders betting (not sure if he actually said that or was made up). If he did, I think he is right. - prediction markets aren’t securities; they’re event contracts where payouts depend on outcomes, not managerial effort - insiders betting on prediction markets exposes truth faster to the world than waiting on traditional announcements - information has a price, prediction markets allow insiders to monetize their information (whether you like it or not) unless you have insider information to know the outcome of the market, betting on prediction markets is the same as gambling. there's nothing wrong with it, gambling can be fun (people play poker with friends) but it's good to be honest about it. Without added info, there's no added edge. However, as truth seeking machines, it's great to observe them and know the future. They are essentially, and obviously, time machines. It's funny in the sense that if someone had decided to build a time machine 20 years ago, they would not have predicted gambling as a tradeoff on the other end. one can argue "they normalize gambling" etc. however I don't think there's any reason to blame prediction markets solely for it. they are just the type of new market that went mainstream recently. humans have consistently increased the number of markets they have access to and have gambled on them. Imagine not having equity or commodity markets. Someone in the 1500s might have resisted against them for the same reasons. Kids born today will not find prediction markets any weirder than we find equity markets. We still have to teach kids about the risk of gambling ofc. It's possible to gamble on equities and it's possible to gamble on predictions. The options available have increased but the fundamentals are the same. Time machines are cool. Worth being picky about which markets you bet on.

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still wild that we can build full software products without ever opening an IDE imagine ten years from now

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reducing wealth gap is a broken concept do we look at star systems and be like all stars should be within a certain size of one another? income equality as a concept is lost, inequality will only increase. there is no closing the gap. there will be people so much wealthier than you that it'll be incomprehensible. they won't own mansions, they will own planets, galactic scale neighborhoods. just as we spend no time thinking about how other earth like planets in cosmos might be bigger or better, we will spend no time thinking about such absurd wealth. inequality cannot be stopped, it can only go up. only thing that matters now is increasing prosperity for everyone and is a goal worth putting effort behind. happy new year!

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I don't think content coins should be about "trading" the way humans trade today If content coins are price finding mechanisms for content, what they measure is - when was attention focused on that piece of content (x axis aka time) - How much attention did it receive (y axis aka price) Together the graph has the attention information needed for any piece of content I'm not sure humans will do the majority of this price finding manually. Most clearly don't like it. I think if it works, it'll have to be automated. One possible approach * - clients buy $0.000x for every second when the content is in the viewport** - They sell when it leaves the viewport - the buying and selling can be between users if users have small pre allocations set that the client can use - Users will sell to other users automatically with the above mechanism - Those early will make a few cents passively - The trading graph will show the attention data - Any real trader can still choose to manually trade and take on a bigger position Today content coins are trading engagement but they should really be looking at the viewport and trading true attention. Alongside automation, it might also need to be abstracted away. YouTube doesn't show creator earnings from ads in real time to the viewer. Crypto allows showing this real time but there's really no need for it to be front and center. It can be a layer deeper so only those interested dive in. This "price finding" work will make some money for the creators, some money for the platform. For human scrollers, some will make a few cents and some will lose a few cents. However, given average scrolling behavior - any single person scrolling through the feed should net out break even by being early on some and late on the others. No change to non trader behavior (and they notice nothing because the trading is automated behind the scenes). * obviously a thought experiment and I'm sure there's a bunch of things wrong with this approach that need to be refined ** Yes, some will automate scrolling to try and game this but that already happens today for generating fake view numbers so nothing new there ps - if anyone read this far, feel free to disagree with all of it. I personally have no vested interest in any specific type of coin, just had some time to think about this today

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there is this constant debate of whether everything will be onchain in the year 1995 > the tech-forward might have predicted most experiences to be online with AR/VR; today we're nowhere close and IRL experiences are growing > most, tech-forward or slow-to-catch-up-mainstream, would not have predicted tiktok, whoop, kalshi same thing applies to blockchains, most likely outcome is that - if you think onchain will be limited to a specific set, you're wrong - if you think everything will be onchain, you're wrong in fact, only thing we know with high probability is that our predictions (either for or against) for the next two decades will be mostly wrong

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so AI founders who do well will have to - sell (5+n)% of privately held equity over 5 years* - *where n accounts for tax on the sale itself - find private buyers for a non public company - convince their board to allow that sale and deal with the cap table changes of bringing on the new buyers ?!?! I imagine this tax is to close the loophole where the ultra wealthy borrow against their equity without ever paying taxes? If the state absolutely has to enforce a tax, why not tax the borrowed amount instead of taxing unrealized gains? what am I missing? https://x.com/RoKhanna/status/2004776831501947267

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AI conversations > podcasts for long drives Spent an hour talking to ChatGPT two nights ago. Stayed alert, asked follow-ups, no drowsiness. Talked ancient history, philosophy, random tangents. Felt completely natural. Wild that this seemed impossible 3 years ago and now it's just... normal? LLMs are still wildly underrated.

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complaints about - fb newsfeed launch were on fb - twitter content moderation were on twitter idt controversy has ever killed a social network

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