@gokhan.eth
https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/frontier-llm-apps-can-be-background?r=Z29raGFu
"This market resolves YES if, in November 2026, at least 2 of {OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind}'s mobile app lets the user close the app while the model is reasoning about an answer, and when the user later reopens the app, the model has continued/completed reasoning. "