@zhouxingda
January 2026 Token Unlock Risks and Governance Token Strategies
January 2026 features significant unlocks (~$1B+ total), including HYPE ($323M), BGB ($504M), ONDO, APT, and ENA. These governance/utility tokens face short-term selling pressure, increasing volatility and potential price dips as vested supplies hit the market.
Market Risks: Heightened dilution risk if holders sell; historical unlocks often cause 10-30% drawdowns absent strong demand.
Timing Strategies: Sell or reduce exposure pre-unlock to avoid anticipated pressure; buy post-unlock dips if protocol fundamentals (TVL, revenue) remain robust.
Buyback Potential: Protocols generating fees (e.g., Optimism's proposed 50% revenue buybacks starting Feb) can offset dilution, enhancing long-term governance token value. Prioritize projects with active repurchase mechanisms.