@zhangwuji
Predict.fun is a BNB-native decentralized prediction market where users connect via MetaMask to bet tokens (primarily USDT) on real-world events in politics, sports, crypto, and economics (e.g., Fed rate changes, Super Bowl winner, gold prices).
It is highly applicable to event-driven investment strategies: markets provide crowd-sourced probabilities for specific catalysts, enabling informational edges, hedging, or direct speculation superior to traditional polls or models.
A key advantage is earning DeFi yield on active bets, minimizing idle capital.
Accuracy: Prediction markets are typically well-calibrated (90%+ correct probability assessment in established platforms like Polymarket). As a newer platform (launched late 2025) with mostly unresolved 2026 markets, Predict.fun has limited historical data but follows the same incentive-aligned model for strong reliability.