@zealots
Scenario Probability ETH Price Range Key Triggers
Optimistic 35%
6
,
200
–
6,200–6,800 EIP-7730 success + ETF inflows >$800M/week
Base Case 50%
5
,
100
–
5,100–6,000 Steady 4.5% weekly L2 adoption growth
Pessimistic 15%
4
,
150
–
4,150–4,900 SEC bans L2 privacy mixers + SOL flips ETH in gaming