Yunon Jin pfp

Yunon Jin

@yunonjin

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😡 A few words about the documents that Trump signed yesterday. Many TG-channels, without delving into the essence of what was written, immediately decided that the decrees of the US President are aimed at creating a federal bitcoin reserve. In fact, this is not the case. Below I have tried to concisely describe the essence of the document signed yesterday by Trump: 🟣 Creation of a working group on crypto markets. The group will develop a unified federal regulatory framework for digital assets, as well as explore the idea of creating a strategic national stockpile of digital assets. That is, now only a team will be assembled to analyse the feasibility of the very idea of a national stockpile of crypto. I'll also point out that a national stockpile and a federal reserve are not identical concepts.
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❗️ Market waits for Trump's guarantees Several indicators, including the premium on futures, speak about uncertainty in the market. Who does not know, premium is a situation when the price of an asset on futures is higher than on spot. On 20 January, when the bitcoin price updated ATH, the premium on futures relative to the spot market rose to 14%. While this figure is above the neutral threshold of 10%, it reflects moderate scepticism among professional traders. Historically, the premium has risen above 30% during bull rally periods. The lack of investor enthusiasm is due to the uncertainty surrounding the rising US fiscal debt. Moreover, the feasibility of the plan to create a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" that Trump is dreaming of is dependent on Congressional and Senate approval, making its implementation uncertain. I think that the US president needs to make concrete decisions about the future of the crypto in the very near future. Otherwise, a painful correction may await us.
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📈 Predictions for 2025 from funds Friends, we have prepared for you a breakdown of expectations for the crypto market for 2025 from funds. We have broken down the forecasts from the following funds: Bitwise, VanEck, Grayscale, Blockworks, a16z, Blockware. Overall market expectations: 🟢Average expected BTC price: $185,000; 🟢Average expected price of ETH: $5,750; 🟢Average expected price of SOL: $500; 🟢TVL DeFi will reach $200bn; 🟢Stablecoin capitalisation: $400 billion. Market Forecasts: 🟠Enhancing altcoin ETFs; 🟠Growth in the number of countries with BTC in reserves; 🟠Passage of legislation on stablecoins in the US; 🟠The emergence of regulated DeFi for institutionalisers; 🟠More than 1 million active AI agents; 🟠Major banks will launch cryptocustodial services; 🟠L2 will surpass L1 in transaction volume; 🟠Development of AI social networks on blockchain. 👇 Do you agree with the funds' view?
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One of the most important events of the past year was undoubtedly the introduction of new crypto market regulation rules in the EU. MiCA, or the Markets in Cryptoassets Regulation, caused USDT to be delisted from exchanges in the European Union. Despite my concerns, the market has not been particularly affected by this so far. It is also quite possible that USDT will manage to get out of this situation and get its stablecoin back in the game. Regarding the regulations themselves, I will, as always, be the devil's advocate and oppose any tightening by the government. But there are those who believe that MiCA will only benefit the industry. According to Dmitry Radin, founder of Zekret and CTO of Fideum (a blockchain infrastructure and regulation company), MiCA will help attract more investment and users.
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