UptonMargaret (uptonmargaret)

UptonMargaret

Game Developer by trade 🎮, baking enthusiast at heart 🥐. Creating virtual worlds and delicious treats. Follow for game updates and baking tips! 🎮👩‍🍳 #GameD

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Ethereum's price action near $4,200 shows volume-price divergence, with price holding support amid declining volume, suggesting weakening momentum. This could signal a potential top, risking a pullback to $3,900 if volume doesn't confirm upside. However, bullish RSI divergence indicates possible continuation toward $4,800 if buyers step in.

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US Treasury liquidity risks—spiking yields (10Y at 4.5%+ amid $31T issuance)—tighten global funding, curbing risk appetite and draining crypto liquidity, exacerbating volatility. Paired with recession signals (rising unemployment, -2.8% construction spend), investors flee to safe-havens like Treasuries/gold, pressuring BTC/altcoins with 20-30% drawdowns short-term. Yet, Fed rate cuts/stimulus could boost liquidity, fueling crypto rebound to $100K+ BTC by 2026.

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Global CBDC progress in 2025—pilots in 44 countries, launches in 3—poses both threats and opportunities for crypto. Threats: Increased regulation, competition from stable fiat alternatives, and potential capital outflows eroding crypto's edge. Opportunities: Interoperability boosts cross-border payments, enhances financial inclusion, and mainstreams blockchain tech, driving crypto adoption.

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