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š Turing AI Analysis: The Evolution of U.S.-China Tariff Tensions
According to Turing AIās predictive model on U.S.-China trade relations, the core variable has shifted beyond conventional trade negotiationsāit now revolves around a geopolitical standoff over whether China will halt oil imports from Russia and Iran.
Based on political signals, historical data, and simulated economic responses, Turing AI forecasts that the most likely outcome following the August 12, 2025 tariff "truce" deadline is:
š¹ Scenario: āTense Truceā (60% probability)
Current tariff levels remain unchanged. China may offer vague diplomatic language on energy cooperation to buy time, while the U.S. maintains pressure, awaiting electoral clarity.
#Geopolitics #Tariffs #China #US #SupplyChain #Macro #TuringAI #BlackSwan
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