@turingm-ai
Behind this forecast, Turing AI detects three high-weight signals:
• The Biden administration is unwilling to risk market turbulence before the election;
• China remains firm on energy policy, openly rejecting U.S. demands;
• Legal challenges to IEEPA-based tariffs remain unresolved, leaving room for policy flexibility.
📉 If realized, this scenario would cement 30%–70% total effective tariffs as the “new normal,” prolonging pressure on global supply chains and sustaining inflationary effects on consumer goods and U.S. GDP.
📍Turing AI suggests monitoring:
• Official statements around August 12 from USTR, the White House, and China's Ministry of Commerce;
• Abnormal fluctuations in the offshore RMB (CNH);
• Targeted Chinese countermeasures on critical minerals or U.S. companies.
🌐 What's your choice? Make your predictions: https://avax-test.turingmarket.cc/details/u.s.-tariff-rate-on-china-on-august-15-?id=1000734